Research

Integrated Korea-Bangladesh Trade and Overseas Construction Trends in 2021 Q3

Integrated Overview of 2021 Q3

The third quarter of 2021 marked a period in which recovery accelerated in both trade and construction orders despite the spread of the COVID-19 Delta variant. Bilateral trade reached USD 560 million, with exports at USD 310 million and imports at USD 250 million, representing 14% growth from Q2's USD 490 million and bringing quarterly trade close to a record high. Overseas construction orders added two projects worth USD 75 million, bringing the cumulative total for the first nine months to seven projects worth USD 240 million, or 80% of the annual target of USD 300 million.

The defining event of Q3 was the successful prequalification of the BPDB 300MW CCPP project worth USD 150 million. Korean Company A passed the PQ stage and secured its place in the main tender in Q4, creating a credible path to exceed the annual order target by a wide margin. On the trade side, larger fall and winter apparel orders and a sharp rise in energy-related exports pushed quarterly exports above USD 300 million for the first time. Even with the Delta wave peaking in July and August, Bangladesh's economic normalization continued at a faster pace than expected.

$560M
Q3 Trade
up 14% from Q2
$310M
Q3 Exports
first quarter above $300M
$250M
Q3 Imports
F/W season expansion
$75M
Q3 Orders
2 additional projects
$1,480M
9-Month Trade
up 35% vs. 2020
$240M
9-Month Orders
80% of target
Passed
CCPP PQ
Q4 main tender confirmed
+$60M
Trade Balance
Q3 surplus

Detailed Q3 Trade Picture

Exports of USD 310 million in Q3 represented a historic milestone as quarterly exports exceeded USD 300 million for the first time. Energy-related exports accounted for USD 45 million, or 15% of the total, and rose 29% from Q2, making them the fastest growing export segment. Higher global energy prices and Bangladesh's broader use of LNG terminals supported demand for Korean energy equipment and components. Synthetic resins and chemicals followed at USD 60 million, or 19%, then textile machinery and parts at USD 48 million, or 15%, and steel and metals at USD 38 million, or 12%.

On the import side, garments and textiles reached USD 175 million, or 70% of imports, as large fall and winter season orders moved into shipment. Bangladesh's own apparel exports hit record levels as global demand recovered, and this also lifted exports to Korea. Fisheries imports at USD 25 million, or 10%, and leather and footwear at USD 18 million, or 7%, reflected gradual diversification in the import basket. Fisheries products in particular, led by shrimp and crab, increased by 38% year on year.

Integrated Korea-Bangladesh Trade and Construction Orders in 2021 Q3
CategoryItemAmount ($M)Sharevs. Q2Note
ExportsSynthetic resins and chemicals6019%+9%stable expansion
ExportsTextile machinery and parts4815%+7%factory modernization
ExportsEnergy-related products4515%+29%LNG equipment demand
ExportsSteel and metals3812%+27%construction materials
ImportsGarments and textiles17570%+13%bulk F/W shipments
ImportsFisheries2510%+39%shrimp and crab surge
ConstructionPGCB transmission line50--awarded in July
ConstructionBWDB embankment25--awarded in September

Construction Orders and CCPP Progress

Q3 Construction Order Details
PGCB 230kV transmission line$50M - awarded in July, ADB-funded
BWDB embankment reinforcement$25M - awarded in September, WB-funded
Cumulative (9 months)7 projects / $240M - 80% of target
Sector mixPower 55%, Transport 17%, Water 15%, Renewables 13%
CCPP PQ and Q4 Outlook
CCPP project size300MW / $150M - one of the largest in Bangladesh
PQ resultKorean Company A passed - ranked first among 3 bidders
Main tenderScheduled for December in Q4 - technical plus price evaluation
If awarded$390M for the year - 130% of target

The headline construction order in Q3 was the PGCB 230kV transmission line project worth USD 50 million. Korean Company B won the international competitive bidding under the ADB Power System Enhancement Program, reinforcing its partnership with PGCB after also securing a substation expansion project worth USD 30 million in April. The BWDB embankment reinforcement project worth USD 25 million marked a first Korean win in Bangladesh's flood control infrastructure segment and established an entry point into water resource projects. Passing the CCPP PQ stage was the most important milestone for the quarter, since a successful Q4 award would lift annual orders to USD 390 million, equivalent to 130% of the yearly target.

Q4 Outlook and Annual Targets

01
Trade: Q4 at USD 580-620M and full-year trade at USD 2.06-2.10B
The fourth quarter is a peak season when final shipments for fall and winter apparel, year-end industrial deliveries, and Christmas consumer goods exports overlap. Trade is expected to edge above Q3, with exports of USD 320-340 million and imports of USD 260-280 million. Full-year trade is therefore projected at USD 2.06-2.10 billion, effectively recovering to the same level as 2019, when trade reached USD 2.1 billion. The share of energy-related exports rising above 15% points to a structural shift in the export mix.
02
Construction: the CCPP award will determine the annual result
The CCPP main tender is expected in December. If won, annual orders would reach USD 390 million, or 130% of target; if not, they would likely end around USD 260-280 million, or 87-93% of target. In addition to CCPP, an additional SREDA solar project worth USD 30 million and an RHD national highway expansion project worth USD 20 million are expected to be tendered in Q4, meaning annual orders could still approach USD 300 million even without the CCPP win. Reaching 80% of target within nine months strongly signals that the annual goal remains within reach.
03
Delta variant impact and macroeconomic effects
Bangladesh's daily COVID cases surged to as high as 16,000 in July and August during the Delta wave, but fell back below 2,000 by September. A two-week lockdown was imposed from July 23 to August 5, yet garment factories maintained roughly 50% utilization, which limited the direct hit to exports. Vaccine administration exceeded 30 million doses, making visible progress toward herd immunity, and a fuller normalization of economic activity was expected in Q4.
04
Results of the integrated trade-order strategy
The combined performance through Q3 shows trade of USD 1.48 billion plus construction orders of USD 240 million, for total economic activity of USD 1.72 billion. That represents 54% growth from the USD 1.12 billion recorded in the same period of 2020 and already exceeds the 2019 level of USD 1.68 billion. Three linkage axes, namely energy exports to power projects, steel to infrastructure, and chemicals to apparel, are now functioning in a stable way and have become the core drivers of the post-COVID recovery.
Integrated Quarterly Flow in 2021
Q1
Trade $430M / Orders $85M
Q2
Trade $490M / Orders $80M
Q3
Trade $560M / Orders $75M
Q4 Outlook
Trade $600M / CCPP $150M
Full Year
Trade $2.08B / Orders $390M
Integrated Korea-Bangladesh Trade and Order Trends in 2021 Q2Review the Ramadan impact in Q2 and the first solar project award
Half-Year Korea-Bangladesh Trade Summary Series (2021 H1-2023 H2)Track longer-term half-year trade patterns and seasonality

The third quarter of 2021 demonstrated an accelerated recovery, with trade reaching USD 560 million, including the first quarterly export result above USD 300 million, and construction orders adding USD 75 million through transmission and embankment projects. The combined nine-month result of USD 1.48 billion in trade and USD 240 million in construction orders showed that recovery from the pandemic was no longer tentative but firmly underway. Even under Delta-related disruption, the economic shock remained manageable, while progress in the CCPP prequalification stage raised expectations for a major Q4 award. The combined economic activity of USD 1.72 billion already surpassed the 2019 benchmark, indicating that Korea-Bangladesh economic relations had effectively returned to and moved beyond pre-COVID levels.

2021Q3TradeOverseas ConstructionCCPPDelta Variant
Integrated Korea-Bangladesh Trade and Overseas Construction Trends in 2021 Q3 | Dhaka Trade Portal