Research

2025 KSP Private Proposal Pre-Feasibility Study: Restoring Bangladesh Carbon Sink Forests

Overview of the KSP Private Proposal Project

The KSP (Knowledge Sharing Program) is a development cooperation program led by Korea's Ministry of Economy and Finance to share Korea's economic development experience with developing countries. Under the 2025 KSP private proposal track, private companies and institutions may directly submit project concepts, and one of the proposals focuses on restoring carbon sink forests in Bangladesh.

Bangladesh is widely recognized as one of the countries most vulnerable to climate change, facing deterioration of the Sundarbans mangrove forest, coastal erosion, and increasingly frequent flooding. Restoring carbon sink forests is positioned as a dual-purpose project that can support climate adaptation while also creating access to carbon credit revenue. A pre-feasibility study is therefore needed to test the project's economic rationale and implementation viability in advance.

Private Proposal
KSP Track
2025 cycle
Carbon Sink Forest
Project Theme
Bangladesh
Pre-Feasibility
Study Stage
Pre-F/S
Sundarbans-Coast
Target Area
Southern coast
6,017 km2
Sundarbans
Largest mangrove forest
1.3%/yr
Forest Loss
Decline rate
REDD+
Carbon Market
Credit mechanism
MOEF Korea
Lead Agency
Implemented by KDI

Project Background: Bangladesh's Forest and Climate Conditions

Forest cover in Bangladesh accounts for only about 11% of national territory, far below the global average of roughly 31%. The Sundarbans, the world's largest mangrove forest spanning 6,017 square kilometers and designated as a UNESCO World Heritage site, is under growing pressure from sea-level rise, illegal logging, and the expansion of shrimp farms. It is estimated to be shrinking by about 1.3% annually. Mangroves absorb three to five times more carbon than conventional forests, making them especially valuable as carbon sink assets.

Bangladesh Forest and Carbon Context
ItemCurrent StatusTargetNoteSource
Forest Cover11% of land area20% by 2030NDC targetMoEFCC
Sundarbans6,017 km2Conserve + expandUNESCO heritageIUCN
Mangrove Loss1.3% per year0%Urgent conservation needFAO
CO2 Emissions100 MtCO2/year22% reductionNDC targetUNFCCC
Carbon Absorption3-5x mangrove gainExpandvs. general forestsResearch
REDD+ MembershipSince 2010Implementation stageLinked to carbon marketUN-REDD
Sea-Level Rise3-5 mm/year-Threat to mangrovesIPCC
Reforestation Need50,000 ha+By 2030Coastal protection forestMoEFCC

Core Findings from the Pre-Feasibility Study

Economic Assessment
Project Cost$30-50M over 10 years
Carbon Revenue$5-15/tCO2
Expected EIRR12-18%
B/C Ratio1.5-2.5
Environmental and Social Effects
Carbon Capture1M tCO2 / 20 years
Job Creation5,000+
Disaster PreventionLower cyclone damage
BiodiversityBengal tiger habitat

The pre-feasibility study evaluates the project across economic, technical, environmental-social, and institutional-legal dimensions. Its economic case rests on a revenue model tied to REDD+, which allows carbon credits to be generated and traded by preventing forest degradation and restoring forest capacity. Restoring one hectare of mangrove forest is estimated to absorb 5-15 tons of CO2 annually, implying total absorption of more than 1 million tons over a 20-year horizon. Applying a carbon price of $5-15 per ton suggests an estimated economic internal rate of return of 12-18%.

Pathways for Korean Companies and Institutions to Participate

01
Link KSP Pre-F/S to a Full EDCF Project
If the KSP pre-feasibility study produces a positive outcome, the project can be scaled into an EDCF-funded main program. The intended pipeline is KSP Pre-F/S to EDCF F/S to an EDCF loan project. Early coordination among the Ministry of Economy and Finance, KOICA, and the Export-Import Bank of Korea is essential so that KSP outputs can transition smoothly into the EDCF track.
02
Technical Cooperation with the Korea Forest Service and Research Institutes
Korea has a globally recognized record of restoring degraded mountains from the 1960s and 1970s. This experience, together with mangrove research, tropical forest restoration methods, and forest GIS capabilities developed by Korean institutions, can be transferred to Bangladesh. The restoration know-how of the Korea Forest Service is a core asset in the KSP knowledge-sharing model and can support institution-to-institution cooperation with Bangladesh's MoEFCC.
03
Carbon Credit Business Participation by Korean Firms
Korean companies such as 코리아SK and Korea Steel International could invest in Bangladesh carbon sink forest restoration and secure the resulting carbon credits under standards such as VCS or Gold Standard. Returns could be recovered through trading in the Korean carbon market and in international voluntary carbon markets. This is increasingly aligned with ESG-driven corporate investment strategies.
04
Smart Forest Monitoring Linked to Korean IT Capabilities
The project can integrate Korean technology such as satellite imagery, drones, IoT sensors, and AI analytics to monitor forest growth, detect illegal logging, and automate MRV for carbon capture performance. Such digital monitoring can strengthen the accuracy and credibility of REDD+ certification while opening space for collaboration between Korean tech firms and forestry research organizations.
Implementation Flow for the KSP Carbon Sink Forest Project
KSP Pre-F/S
Initial pre-feasibility study
EDCF F/S
Full feasibility study
EDCF Loan
Project financing secured
Restoration
Mangrove planting and recovery
REDD+ Certification
Carbon credits issued
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The 2025 KSP private proposal on carbon sink forest restoration represents a high-value cooperation agenda where Bangladesh's climate response needs and Korea's ODA strategy intersect. Restoring the Sundarbans mangrove ecosystem offers environmental, economic, and social benefits at the same time, while the REDD+ carbon credit model provides a plausible mechanism for long-term project sustainability. If the project can establish a pipeline from KSP pre-feasibility work to a full EDCF program, and combine Korea's restoration expertise, corporate carbon investment, and digital monitoring technologies, it can strengthen Korea's strategic position in Bangladesh's climate cooperation landscape.

KSPCarbon Sink ForestODAPre-FeasibilityClimate Change
2025 KSP Private Proposal Pre-Feasibility Study: Restoring Bangladesh Carbon Sink Forests | Dhaka Trade Portal