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Bhola Bridge Feasibility Study Analysis: A Key Link for Southern Bangladesh

Project Background of the Bhola Bridge

Bhola is the largest island in Bangladesh and is home to around 1.8 million people, yet access to the mainland still depends entirely on ferry services. During the monsoon season from June to September, strong winds and rough waters frequently suspend ferry operations, severely constraining local economic activity and emergency medical access. The Bhola Bridge is planned as a 4.8 km crossing linking the island to Barishal on the mainland, and is widely regarded as a core infrastructure project for southern Bangladesh's regional connectivity. The feasibility study was carried out with support from the Korea International Cooperation Agency (KOICA).

4.8 km
Total Length
Meghna estuary crossing
$800M
Estimated Project Cost
FS estimate, +/-15%
12,000 vehicles/day
Forecast Traffic
Estimated for year 10 after opening
14.2%
EIRR
Meets economic feasibility threshold

Feasibility Study Results

The KOICA-backed feasibility study assessed the project from technical, economic, and environmental perspectives. The economic internal rate of return (EIRR) reached 14.2%, exceeding the 12% benchmark, while the benefit-cost ratio stood at 1.38, confirming the project's economic viability. From an engineering standpoint, the strongest tidal currents and weak ground conditions in the Meghna estuary were identified as the main challenges, and the design reflects lessons from the Padma Bridge experience.

Key Indicators from the Bhola Bridge Feasibility Study
ItemValueBenchmarkAssessmentNote
EIRR14.2%12% or higherPassIncludes transport and medical access benefits
B/C Ratio1.381.0 or higherPass30-year analysis period
FIRR8.7%10% or higherBelow targetLimited toll revenue potential
Environmental ImpactGrade B+Separate review if A or higherManageableFishery compensation required
Traffic at Opening6,500 vehicles/day--Ferry shift plus induced demand
Construction Period5 years--Two-phase implementation

Engineering Challenges and Design

The Meghna estuary presents extreme hydraulic conditions, including a tidal range of 4 to 5 meters and peak current velocities of 3.5 m/s. The bridge foundations were designed as deep foundations using 3-meter-diameter steel pipe piles driven to 60 meters below the riverbed, while the main bridge section was planned as a cable-stayed bridge with a 200-meter main span. If realized as designed, it would become the longest-span bridge in Bangladesh after the Padma Bridge, whose span length is 150 meters.

Structural Design
Main BridgeCable-stayed / 200 m span
Approach BridgePC box girder / 50 m
Total Piers68
Construction Conditions
Maximum Water Depth28 m
Pile DepthRiverbed -60 m
Tidal Conditions4-5 m range, 3.5 m/s current

Participation Pathways for Korean Companies

Because the feasibility study was funded through KOICA, the project environment is relatively favorable for Korean firms. Korean contractors that participated in the Padma Bridge project in particular hold a strong competitive position in large bridge works under comparable hydraulic conditions. Potential areas for participation include design and supervision, main bridge construction, fabrication and driving of steel pipe piles, and bridge bearing systems.

01
Design and Supervision
Around $35M, with an advantage for firms linked to the FS stage and basic design work
02
Main Bridge Construction
$280M, requiring cable-stayed bridge experience and strong use of Padma references
03
Marine Foundation Works
$180M, demanding expertise in deep foundations and large-diameter piling
04
Bridge Materials
Steel pipe piles $45M + cables $25M + bearings $12M
FS Completed
KOICA support, EIRR 14.2%
Loan Negotiation
ADB/JICA/EDCF under review
Tender Announcement
Expected in 2025-2026
Construction and Completion
Five-year schedule, target 2031
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Bhola Bridge Feasibility Study Analysis: A Key Link for Southern Bangladesh | Dhaka Trade Portal