DX Innovation

TriBIG Custom Market Recommendation AI Algorithm: Cosine Similarity-Based Export Market Prediction

TriBIG AI Market Recommendation Algorithm: What Is Cosine Similarity?

The TriBIG AI platform compares and analyzes Korean export companies' product and capability data against global import market data using cosine similarity algorithms to automatically recommend optimal export markets for each company. Unlike conventional statistics-based market analysis, the core innovation lies in mathematically computing the "similarity" between companies and markets in a multi-dimensional vector space.

This algorithm is a core technology among KOTRA DX Innovation Lab's 28 projects, processing over 100,000 trade data records annually to support new market development for small and medium-sized enterprises.

120+
Analysis Variables
Company-market matching criteria
8 types
Data Sources
Korea Customs, UN Comtrade, etc.
85%+
Recommendation Accuracy
Based on top-5 markets
< 3 sec
Processing Speed
Per company recommendation
190+ countries
Target Markets
Global import markets
5,000+
Companies Served
Annual recommendation users

Data Pipeline: From Collection to Vectorization

TriBIG's market recommendation system consists of a four-stage data pipeline: raw data collection, preprocessing and normalization, feature vector generation, and cosine similarity calculation. Each stage is automated to enable real-time recommendations.

Data Collection
Integration of 8 data types: Korea Customs export-import clearance, UN Comtrade, WTO tariff rates, KOTRA buyer DB, etc.
Preprocessing & Normalization
HS code harmonization at 6-digit level, currency conversion, missing value interpolation, min-max normalization
Feature Vector Generation
Company vector (export items, amounts, country history) + Market vector (import volume, growth rate, tariffs, competition intensity)
Cosine Similarity Calculation
Company-market vector dot product / (||Company|| x ||Market||) yields 0-1 similarity score
Recommendation List Generation
Top-N markets by similarity score + adjustment factors (policy, logistics, FTA) applied for final ranking

Matching Logic: Multi-Dimensional Analysis with 120+ Variables

The variables used for company-market matching are classified into four dimensions. The analysis goes beyond simple export-import volumes to comprehensively consider market growth potential, competitive landscape, trade barriers, and logistics accessibility.

Four Dimensions of Market Recommendation Matching Variables
DimensionKey VariablesData SourceWeight
Market SizeTotal imports, product-level imports, CAGRUN Comtrade, ITC30%
Competitive LandscapeKorea market share, competitor shares, HHI concentrationKorea Customs, TradeMap25%
Trade BarriersTariff rates, non-tariff barriers, FTA benefitsWTO, FTA Portal20%
Logistics & AccessibilityShipping costs, lead time, payment termsFreightos, K-SURE25%
Company Vector Composition
Export ProductsHS code 6-digit history
Export CountriesLast 3 years trading partners
Export VolumeAverage annual export value
Company CapabilitiesCertifications, patents, R&D
Market Vector Composition
Import DemandProduct-level import volume
Growth Trend3-year CAGR
Entry BarriersTariff + non-tariff
Korea CompetitivenessExisting market share

Real-World Cases: Bangladesh Market

TriBIG AI's market recommendation algorithm demonstrates particularly high accuracy in emerging South Asian markets including Bangladesh. Multiple cases have translated data-driven identification of previously overlooked niche markets into actual export results.

Bangladesh Market Recommendation Success Cases
ProductCosine ScoreRecommendation BasisExport Outcome
Medical Devices (HS9018)0.87Import growth 22%, Korea share 3.2%5 new buyer connections
Cosmetics (HS3304)0.83Growing middle class, Korean Wave, 15% tariffUSD 500K annual exports achieved
Auto Parts (HS8708)0.81Growing auto assembly, parts import dependencyLocal OEM supply contract
Electronic Components (HS8542)0.79Growing electronics manufacturing, FTA under reviewSample export followed by expansion
Plastics (HS3926)0.76Surging packaging demand, price competitivenessAnnual contract signed

Technical Advancement: Deep Learning Hybrid Model

Starting in 2025, TriBIG is advancing to a hybrid recommendation system that combines traditional cosine similarity with deep learning-based embedding models. Transformer-based trade data embeddings that learn time-series patterns are enabling "predictive recommendations" that forecast future market demand changes.

01
Limitations of Cosine Similarity and Compensation
Static vector comparison struggles to reflect dynamic market changes. To compensate, time-series weights (emphasizing recent data) and event variables (FTA effectuation, policy changes) are additionally incorporated.
02
Embedding Model Introduction
Inspired by Word2Vec, the Trade2Vec model embeds product codes and countries in vector space. This enables learning patterns such as "companies exporting similar products enter similar markets."
03
Real-Time Recommendation API
Integrated with the KOTRA unified platform via API, companies can enter their business registration number to automatically generate Top-10 promising markets with market entry strategies within 3 seconds.
04
Performance Feedback Loop
Actual export performance data is fed back to continuously improve algorithm accuracy. Recommendation accuracy improved from 78% in 2024 to 85% in 2025.
TriBIG AI Big Data Platform OverviewExplore the full market analysis platform capabilities and utilization of TriBIG AI
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TriBIG Custom Market Recommendation AI Algorithm: Cosine Similarity-Based Export Market Prediction | Dhaka Trade Portal